Labour Overtakes National in Latest Poll: Shifting Political Landscape Unveiled
Labour has made a significant leap ahead of National in the most recent poll results, showcasing a noteworthy political shift in New Zealand. According to the Taxpayer’s Union-Curia poll, Labour now stands at 30.9 percent, edging past National, which has dropped to 29.6 percent. This development marks the first time Labour has surpassed National in this poll since April 2023.
## Implications for the Political Landscape
The Greens have also seen a positive trend, rising by 1.2 points to 9.5 percent, while ACT experiences a decline of 2.2 points, landing at 10.8 percent. New Zealand First has shown growth, up by 2.7 points to 8.1 percent, whereas Te Pāti Māori has dipped slightly to 5.3 percent. These fluctuations in support translate into a potential reshuffling of parliamentary seats, with National losing six seats, Labour gaining five, the Greens adding one, and ACT losing three.
## Preferred Prime Minister Rankings
A notable aspect of the poll is the decrease in support for major party leaders in terms of Preferred Prime Minister rankings. Christopher Luxon’s popularity has decreased by 2.6 points to 24.5 percent, while Chris Hipkins experienced a drop of 4.6 points, placing him at 15.3 percent. However, Winston Peters and Chlöe Swarbrick have garnered increased support, with Peters rising by 3 points to 8.8 percent and Swarbrick climbing by 4 points to 8.5 percent. ACT leader David Seymour has also seen a rise to 6.3 percent, gaining 0.5 points in popularity.
## Methodology and Considerations
The poll, conducted between 9 and 13 January, surveyed 1000 adult New Zealanders and carries a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percent. It is noteworthy to mention that Curia, the organization behind the poll, is no longer affiliated with the Research Association NZ body.
In conclusion, these latest poll results unveil a dynamic and evolving political landscape in New Zealand, with implications for party standings and leadership popularity. Stay informed with Ngā Pitopito Kōrero, our daily newsletter keeping you up to date with curated news straight to your inbox every weekday.